Why is Victoria so prone to Covid
As Victorians settle in for another seven days of lockdown many are wondering why its state seems so prone to outbreaks and restrictions.
Australia biggest cities have taken very different approaches to managing coronavirus cases with Melburnians expected to clock up 140 days of lockdown, while the average for other states is six days.
In contrast, Sydney has quarantined about half of all overseas arrivals in Australia, dealt with eight hotel quarantine breaches (compared to five in Victoria) and has managed to do this without locking the entire city or state down.
When asked what the difference between Melbourne and Sydney was, Victoria chief health officer Brett Sutton said he didn know the answer.
many respects they are very similar cities but we have seen the randomness of individuals infected with this virus across the country, Prof Sutton told reporters on Friday.
He pointed out that Victoria Black Rock outbreak earlier this year was chased down without hermes tray replica buy
going into lockdown, and Sydney had been fortunate during an outbreak earlier this year because of the geographical isolation of the city northern beaches where the cases occurred.
However, most experts acknowledge Victoria has gone through a larger learning curve than NSW, with many lessons learned from its outbreak last year that saw its contact tracing and hotel quarantine systems overhauled.
This week the emergence of two false positives raised more questions about whether Victorian systems were up to scratch.
do think what we seen time and time again in Victoria is some quite serious systems issues, Business Council of Australia chief executive Jennifer Westacott told ABC RN Breakfast program.
think Victorians are entitled to ask how did we end up here? Most importantly, how do we avoid going into a series of lockdowns all the time?
of each time they happen for a small business it harder and harder to get back up on your feet. is there a reason why Victoria gets getting outbreaks and going into lockdowns?
Here what we know.
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People get their daily exercise in an empty Bourke Street mall this week. Picture: NCA NewsWire / David CroslingSource:News Corp Australia
Victoria risk appetite is low
Infectious diseases expert Professor Peter Collignon of Australian National University believes there is a difference in the approach that Victoria takes towards Covid 19 outbreaks, compared to New South Wales.
Prof Collignon believes NSW has maintained Australia original covid policy to the virus to really low levels. This can be seen in its focus on contact tracing and its decisions to introduce restrictions but not to go into full lockdowns.
In contrast, he believes Victoria has adopted the New Zealand style approach.
want no circulation of the virus, which means longer lockdowns, Prof Collignon said.
has achieved the same result but without the same approach that New Zealand and Victoria have adopted. be fair to Victoria, Prof Collignon said it was never clear until after an outbreak, whether lockdowns were necessary but he did believe that none of the short lockdowns in several Australian states have made any difference to cases.
has achieved control over a larger amount of cases without locking down the whole state, he said.
On Tuesday, NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian and chief health officer Dr Kerry Chant did not seem overly concerned about the stranger to stranger transmission.
have had occasions ourselves where we have had transmission with very minimal contact, Dr Chant said.
Different states, different systems
A lack of resources in Victoria healthcare system has been identified as an issue in the past but experts believe this has now largely been corrected.
Grattan Institute Stephen Duckett, a former secretary of the federal health department, said Victoria certainly had fewer resources at the start of the pandemic, compared to NSW.
spent the last decade stripping out the public service and as a consequence the public service was unable to cope (during the pandemic) and we all suffered, he said.